Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.237684 0.283341 0.334564 0.396167 0.468114 0.549352 0.647898
2025-02-23 0.163003 0.219297 0.289611 0.383372 0.504542 0.655210 0.856029
2025-03-02 0.119987 0.176902 0.253951 0.364848 0.519132 0.724734 1.017708
2025-03-09 0.100159 0.159164 0.244441 0.374953 0.567490 0.838430 1.245144
2025-03-16 0.079687 0.135681 0.221598 0.360613 0.576778 0.896075 1.397927
2025-03-23 0.069137 0.125062 0.215467 0.368954 0.618639 1.002968 1.630963
2025-03-30 0.060279 0.115375 0.208854 0.374752 0.655992 1.105405 1.865960
2025-04-06 0.051393 0.103904 0.197253 0.370105 0.674863 1.179395 2.061855
2025-04-13 0.044195 0.094142 0.186956 0.365836 0.693028 1.252843 2.262372
2025-04-20 0.040243 0.089868 0.185831 0.377518 0.739779 1.377908 2.560014
2025-04-27 0.039162 0.091152 0.195247 0.409740 0.826704 1.579813 3.007405
2025-05-04 0.036336 0.088263 0.196010 0.425193 0.883679 1.733034 3.380883
2025-05-11 0.031766 0.081026 0.187483 0.422215 0.907230 1.831633 3.672208
2025-05-18 0.026906 0.072234 0.174438 0.408354 0.908055 1.888610 3.893388
2025-05-25 0.022409 0.063364 0.159737 0.388701 0.894320 1.915547 4.058752
2025-06-01 0.020588 0.060815 0.158932 0.399414 0.945292 2.074443 4.495653
2025-06-08 0.017468 0.054207 0.147489 0.384210 0.938227 2.114816 4.698202
2025-06-15 0.016069 0.052000 0.146392 0.393054 0.985325 2.271146 5.150560
2025-06-22 0.014688 0.049560 0.144317 0.399201 1.026828 2.419091 5.597429
2025-06-29 0.012982 0.045787 0.138157 0.394274 1.041749 2.510601 5.931337
2025-07-06 0.011509 0.042399 0.132476 0.389748 1.056997 2.603938 6.276606
2025-07-13 0.010811 0.041361 0.133168 0.402133 1.115116 2.798911 6.862368
2025-07-20 0.010879 0.042905 0.141501 0.436286 1.231435 3.137042 7.795749